{"id":169,"date":"2009-04-17T00:20:24","date_gmt":"2009-04-17T04:20:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/kmci.org\/alllifeisproblemsolving\/archives\/a-black-swan\/"},"modified":"2009-04-17T00:20:24","modified_gmt":"2009-04-17T04:20:24","slug":"a-black-swan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kmci.org\/alllifeisproblemsolving\/archives\/a-black-swan\/","title":{"rendered":"A Black Swan?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p align=\"center\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/images.huffingtonpost.com\/gen\/74608\/thumbs\/s-SUSAN-BOYLE-SINGING-YOUTUBE-large.jpg\" alt=\"susanboyle\" height=\"356\" width=\"475\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height: 150%\" align=\"center\"><strong><font face=\"Arial, sans-serif\"><font size=\"3\">From The Huffington Post and YouTube<\/font><\/font><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height: 150%\" align=\"left\"><font face=\"Arial, sans-serif\"><font size=\"3\"><a href=\"http:\/\/books.google.com\/books?id=xDc3AQAACAAJ&amp;dq=The+Black+Swan\" title=\"Taleb -- the Black Swan\">Nassim Nicholas Taleb<\/a> says (pp. xvii \u2013 xviii) that a \u201cBlack Swan\u201d is an event with three attributes. \u201cIt is an outlier . . .\u201d in the sense that it is \u201coutside the realm of regular expectations, because nothing in the past can convincingly point to its possibility. . . it carries an extreme impact . . . human nature makes us concoct explanations for its occurrence after the fact, making it explainable and predictable.\u201d <\/font><\/font><\/p>\n<p style=\"line-height: 150%\" align=\"left\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.huffingtonpost.com\/2009\/04\/14\/susan-boyle-britains-sing_n_186787.html\" title=\"Susan Boyle Narrative\"><font face=\"Arial, sans-serif\"><font size=\"3\">A Black Swan?<\/font><\/font><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>From The Huffington Post and YouTube Nassim Nicholas Taleb says (pp. xvii \u2013 xviii) that a \u201cBlack Swan\u201d is an event with three attributes. \u201cIt is an outlier . . .\u201d in the sense that it is \u201coutside the realm of regular expectations, because nothing in the past can convincingly point to its possibility. . [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14,3],"tags":[1394,1382,1384,1383,1381],"class_list":["post-169","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-complexity","category-knowledge-making","tag-1394","tag-nassim-nicholas-taleb","tag-outliers","tag-sarah-boyle","tag-the-black-swan"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kmci.org\/alllifeisproblemsolving\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/169","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kmci.org\/alllifeisproblemsolving\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kmci.org\/alllifeisproblemsolving\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kmci.org\/alllifeisproblemsolving\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kmci.org\/alllifeisproblemsolving\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=169"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/kmci.org\/alllifeisproblemsolving\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/169\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kmci.org\/alllifeisproblemsolving\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=169"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kmci.org\/alllifeisproblemsolving\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=169"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kmci.org\/alllifeisproblemsolving\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=169"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}