All Life Is Problem Solving

More on ideas from Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s (NNT) The Black Swan today, including discussions of the Lottery Ticket and Ludic fallacies, Mandelbrodtian Randomness, and Gray Swans, and the Narrative Fallacy. The Lottery Ticket Fallacy. One of the things NNT calls attention to is the possibility and advisability of living one’s life in such a way […]

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In this post, I’ll continue my discussion of key ideas from Taleb’s The Black Swan, with an examination of: the fallacy of silent evidence, confirmation error (or platonic confirmation), epistemic arrogance, and future blindness.

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There’s a good reason why The Black Swan is a best seller. It’s written in a very lively style with great narratives, literary images, and vivid terms and phrases. Nassim Nicholas Taleb (NNT) talks about scalability, non-scalability, Extremistan, Mediocristan, the fallacy of silent evidence, confirmation error or platonic confirmation, epistemic arrogance, future blindness, the lottery-ticket […]

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s (NNT) The Black Swan is a “best seller,” and therefore may be having a certain influence on our thinking in many fields including Knowledge Management. From the viewpoint of KM, The Black Swan isn’t about what we know, or about what we know we don’t know, but rather is a book that […]

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It’s interesting to look at torture as practiced by the Bush Administration from the perspective of Knowledge Management. In this case, from the perspective of the three-tier model. Let’s begin with the process of an interrogator trying to retrieve “knowledge” from another person. That’s a particular kind of knowledge integration called searching and retrieving (how […]

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Recently, I’ve been having a good bit of fun with Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s The Black Swan, a book I’ve been meaning to read for awhile but only recently have gotten to. Taleb’s book is mainly about the difficulty of predicting the future due to the weakness (partially based in evolution) in human abilities to predict […]

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In a Thought Leader piece in the February 2009 issue of Inside Knowledge, Neil Olonoff made a case for the importance of recognizing that all our knowledge is uncertain, that we in Knowledge Management should have no hesitation in admitting uncertainty, and since we “live in a world of uncertainty, we should use that truth […]

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(Co-Authored with Steven A. Cavaleri) In this series, we developed the ideas of the Problem Solving Pattern (PSP) and Problem Solving Pattern Management. We pointed out how vital performing PSP patterns well is to organizational adaptation, distinguished the problem solving pattern from the Operational Pattern (OP) (Part One), defined four types of problem solving patterns, […]

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Last week, during a talk I gave on National Governmental Knowledge Management to George Washington University’s University Seminar on Complex Systems, one of the members of the Seminar, asked a question about the Distributed Organizational Knowledge Base (DOKB), an important aspect of the Knowledge Life Cycle Framework. Specifically, she asked how the KLC and the […]

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In his recent blog on “Defining KM In Terms of Critical Failure Cost,” Stephen Bounds says: “What we do know is that KM implemented properly reduces risk profiles. For example, less chance of having to re-learn a process because your critical staff member just moved to Rome, or less chance of a critical failure driven […]

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